Latest Forecast from ETOP – 6th Oct 2014

SYNOPSIS: No outbreaks reported during this period; new outbreaks expected when the rains begin in southern outbreak areas sometime in late Oct into Nov.

CURRENT SITUATION: African armyworm outbreaks were not reported in September in the southern, Central or northern outbreak and or invasion countries (DLCO-EA, IRLCO-CSA).

FORECAST UNTIL MID-NOV 2014: The African armyworm season will commence in the southern outbreak areas following the seasonal rain sometime in late October into November. Forecasters in the southern outbreak region are advised to service their traps and rain gages and remain vigilant at all times. AAW activities are not expected in the central or northern outbreak and invasion
countries during the forecast period (DLCO-EA, IRLCO-CSA, OFDA/AELGA).