Latest Armyworm Forecast (July 2021)
Synopsis
Fall Armyworm (FAW) (Spodoptera frugiperda): FAW attacks were reported in irrigated maize in Kenya, Malawi, Tanzania, and Zambia. FAW outbreaks are likely in rainfed and/or irrigated maize and other crops across countries and regions.
African Armyworm (AAW) (Spodoptera exempta): No AAW outbreaks were reported this month.
Current situation
Fall armyworm (FAW)
FAW outbreaks were reported in irrigated maize in Midlands and Mashonaland Central Provinces of Zimbabwe. Updates were not received in other countries at the time this bulletin was compiled, however, it is likely the pest continued its presence affecting rainfed and irrigated maize and other [cereal] crops across countries and regions.
African Armyworm (AAW)
AAW were not reported in outbreak areas or invasion areas in the last month.
Forecasts (for the next 6 weeks)
Fall armyworm (FAW)
FAW is likely to continue affecting rain-fed and/or irrigated maize and other cereal crops across sub-Saharan Africa, Asia, the Pacific Regions and elsewhere during the forecast period. Active monitoring, surveillance, reporting, and timely interventions remain critical to abate any major crop damage (BHA/TPQ).
African Armyworm (AAW)
AAW outbreaks are not predicted during this forecast period.
Acknowledgements
This forecast is published by Lancaster University’s Armyworm Network: http://www.armyworm.org/. It is an extract from the Emergency Transboundary Outbreak Pest (ETOP) situation report compiled by USAID/OFDA/PSPM. They monitor ETOPs regularly in close collaboration with their network of national PPDs/DPVs, regional and international pest monitoring and/or control entities, including FAO, CLCPRO, CRC, DLCO-EA, and IRLCO-CSA, as well as Agency partners, and NGOs and provides timely analytical bulletins and reports to stakeholders across the globe. For dated, archived ETOP SITREPs, please, go to: https://www.usaid.gov/what-wedo/working-crises-andconflict/responding-times-crisis/how-wedo-it/humanitarian-sectors/agricultureand-food-security/pest-and-pesticidemonitoring/archive
