Latest Armyworm Forecast from ETOP (October 2020)

Synopsis

Fall Armyworm (FAW) (Spodoptera frugiperda) : FAW was likely present in maize and other cereal crops.

African Armyworm (AAW) (Spodoptera exempta): AAW outbreak was not reported during this month.

Current situation

Fall armyworm (FAW)

FAW infestations were reported in irrigated and short rain areas in Tanzania highlands. It is expected that the pest was present in irrigated and in-season maize and other cereal crops in invasion and outbreak countries and regions (BHA/TPQ, DLCO, PHS/Tanzania).

African Armyworm (AAW)

AAW outbreaks were not reported during this month (BHA/TPQ, DLCO-EA).

Forecasts (for the next 6 weeks)

Fall armyworm (FAW)

FAW is expected to continue affecting rain-fed and irrigated maize and other cereal crops across sub-Saharan Africa, Asia, the Pacific Regions and elsewhere during the forecast period (BHA/TPQ).

African Armyworm (AAW)

AAW activities may commence in the northern and eastern outbreak regions in southcentral Africa following the seasonal rains (BHA/TPQ).

Acknowledgements

This forecast is published by Lancaster University’s Armyworm Network: http://www.armyworm.org/. It is an extract from the Emergency Transboundary Outbreak Pest (ETOP) situation report compiled by USAID/OFDA/PSPM. They monitor ETOPs regularly in close collaboration with their network of national PPDs/DPVs, regional and international pest monitoring and/or control entities, including FAO, CLCPRO, CRC, DLCO-EA, and IRLCO-CSA, as well as Agency partners, and NGOs and provides timely analytical bulletins and reports to stakeholders across the globe. For dated, archived ETOP SITREPs, please, go to: https://www.usaid.gov/what-wedo/working-crises-andconflict/responding-times-crisis/how-wedo-it/humanitarian-sectors/agricultureand-food-security/pest-and-pesticidemonitoring/archive