Latest Armyworm Forecast from ETOP (July 2019)
Synopsis
Fall Armyworm (Spodoptera frugiperda) (FAW): FAW was reported in maize fields in several countries in eastern, southern and western Africa, Asia and elsewhere during July. For the first time FAW was reported in Egypt and Japan in July.
African Armyworm (AAW) (Spodoptera exempta): No AAW outbreak was reported during July.
Current situation
Fall armyworm (FAW)
FAW presence is expected to have continued in irrigated and rain-fed maize fields in several countries and causing damage to maize, sorghum and other crops during July.
African Armyworm (AAW)
AAW outbreak was not reported in the southern and eastern outbreak regions in Africa during July (DLCO-EA, IRLCOCSA).
Forecasts (for the next 6 weeks)
Fall armyworm (FAW)
FAW will likely continue affecting rain-fed and irrigated maize and other crops in several countries across sub-Saharan Africa, southwest and southeast Asia and elsewhere (OFDA/PSPM).
African Armyworm (AAW)
The likelihood of AAW appearing in its secondary breeding areas in diminishing although some insignificant numbers may appear here and there. All in all, it is unlikely that the pest will be a serious threat in breeding areas during the forecast period (OFDA/PSPM, DLCOEA, IRLCO-CSA)
Acknowledgements
This forecast is published by Lancaster University’s Armyworm Network: http://www.armyworm.org/. It is an extract from the Emergency Transboundary Outbreak Pest (ETOP) situation report compiled by USAID/OFDA/PSPM. They monitor ETOPs regularly in close collaboration with their network of national PPDs/DPVs, regional and international pest monitoring and/or control entities, including FAO, CLCPRO, CRC, DLCO-EA, and IRLCO-CSA, as well as Agency partners, and NGOs and provides timely analytical bulletins and reports to stakeholders across the globe. For dated, archived ETOP SITREPs, please, go to: https://www.usaid.gov/what-wedo/working-crises-andconflict/responding-times-crisis/how-wedo-it/humanitarian-sectors/agricultureand-food-security/pest-and-pesticidemonitoring/archive
