Latest Forecast from ETOP – 4th Sep 2014

SYNOPSIS: No outbreaks reported during this period; no new outbreaks expected until the rains begin in southern outbreak areas (late Oct to early Dec).

CURRENT SITUATION: African armyworm outbreaks were not reported in August in the southern, Central or northern outbreak and or invasion countries (DLCO-EA, IRLCO-CSA).

FORECAST UNTIL MID-OCT 2014: African armyworm activities are NOT expected in the central and northern outbreak and invasion countries, including Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, Eritrea or Tanzania during the forecast period. The armyworm season will commence in the southern outbreak areas following the onset of the seasonal rain that may start towards late October/November into early December. Forecasters in the southern region are advised to service their traps and rain gages and remain vigilant at all times (DLCO-EA, IRLCO-CSA, OFDA/AELGA).